• 1 Post
  • 21 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: June 14th, 2023

help-circle

  • The optical turning point is here for a lot of things.

    The non-US world is seriously considering Chinese cars, which was always a high burden to clear (see Japan and Korea getting their manufacturing together enough to field a competitive product)

    I suspect we’ll see some flailed attempt to block Chinese RAM from the US market (cf. The router fiasco) but this one might have enough corporate inertia to sail through. When every business in the country can’t afford even basic 16GB office desktops, Intel, Dell, HP, and Apple are probably going to be making compelling arguments to their captive legislators. This might be the only way to avoid huge losses on their non-datacentre product lines.



  • HakFoo@lemmy.sdf.orgtoMemes@lemmy.mlSydney Sweeney
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    18
    ·
    21 days ago

    I do want to see where China goes with soft power.

    I’m ashamed about the amount of my life I’ve wasted in Genshin and Where Winds Meet, but it still feels like the a lot of their cultural exports haven’t cracked the “just exotic enough for broad global appeal” that big-brand anime or K-pop have hit.

    If nothing else, imagine they treat it with the same strategic importance they gave industrial dominance. There would be a room full of very stern and sincere Vice-Ministers for Waifu Development and Fanboy Accelerstion.







  • One huge issue is that LLMs do weird and stupid things differently than how humans do them.

    If you’ve developed an eye for reading human-made changes, you’re not necessarily going to recognize new and surprising failure modes as easily. It’s literally harder than regular code review.

    Humans with modern tooling, for example, rarely hallucinate field/class/method/object names because non-spicy autocomplete keeps them on the rails. LLMs seem much more willing to decide the menu bar is .menuBar and not .topMenu, probably because their training corpus is full of the former.



  • Trying to sell consumers on “scaling solves everything” is going to be a hard sell.

    If we look at general purpose computation, which had decades of actual scaling-solves-everything growth, you had two influences that made the message resonate with customers:

    • Clear existing applications where more power made the experience straightforward better. Your spreadsheet took an hour to recalculate at 8MHz and 20 minutes at 25MHz. A lot of the “bigger model” stuff is plateauing with marginal or spotty gains. If I feed another 5 Internets of data to ChatGPT, will that summarized email be that much better?

    • New applications that could be demoed on specialised low capacity hardware and scaled down to consumers as more power became available. Think of early CGI on hardware costing tens of millions, and now you can run Blender on a $149 laptop. Since most commercial AI plays are hosted services, there’s not much opportunity to tease that way anymore.




  • The difference was that Amazon knew how to make a profit, but was reinvesting into infrastructure plays and bigger fish.

    If they had to, they could have been a modestly profitable bookshop in 2002. AWS and monster logistics might not have developed to put them in the 13-digit club though.

    Does any AI-centric play have that fundamental fallback? The services that seem to be most effective at direct monetization, the coding tools, are typically running at huge losses. If they raised costs to cover, precious few firms will pay basically the salary of a senior dev for an emulation of an enthusiastic junior dev with an affinity for footguns.

    The less enterprise-focused products-- parasocial toys, image and video gen, will likely try to dip into consumer subs and advertising, but can that generate the cash volumes these platforms demand?



  • The “default” mode for a USB keyboard allows submitting 6 keys + modifiers. Some boards define nontraditional input descriptors that allow more, but that mode is not guaranteed to work in places like the BIOS menu or naive KVM switches.

    To avoid phantom keypresses when you hit three keys in a “square” on the matrix, a diode can be placed in series with each switch so current can’t go through an “indirect” route.




  • Culver’s is… interesting.

    I find I don’t like the paper-thin style burgers much (though the fish sandwich is probably the best fast-food fish sandwich on the market) but it always gives the impression they’re trying a little harder. The restaurant always seems clean and a bit of effort was done on the appearance, like they’re still in 1978 and taking the family for a sit-down meal there might be an option.

    OTOH, the customer base seems to be people who have been going there since 1978, but that could be my location.

    They’re opening a new one 3km from my house, next to a McDonalds that hasn’t made a single order correctly since it opened in ~2015, so it will be interesting to see how the market shakes out.