

It’s not just made up. People placing bets are looking at the voting histories of the precincts with outstanding votes. A 4% chance is not a ~0% chance, so they haven’t called it. But neither is it a 50% chance.


It’s not just made up. People placing bets are looking at the voting histories of the precincts with outstanding votes. A 4% chance is not a ~0% chance, so they haven’t called it. But neither is it a 50% chance.


I’m not writing a paper, or “citing” a source. I’m just showing what the current betting odds are, because, as you said, they are a quick and easy snapshot of a synthesis of those other models. I assumed people understood this. You appear to understand, but then you also go on to compare betting odds to an Etsy Witch(?).
I don’t care what motivates people to downvote. I was the only one who contributed a substantive comment regarding Steyers’ actual odds of advancing, after one commenter made it sound like he still had a real chance. Whatever. Just “give it until Tuesday or Wednesday” then.


Agreed. They should be illegal.


The ones who do go will get to enjoy that east coast summer heat and humidity while listening to “God Bless the USA” for the hundredth time and some singer who reminds Trump of Pavarotti. I love how Trump is always shoving it in MAGA’s faces how culturally irrelevant they are.


True…. What’s your point?
Do you think Steyer has significantly more than a 4% chance of coming back when the outstanding votes are counted? If so, why? Or did you just see a screenshot and your lizard brain went “betting markets bad!”?


It’s not looking good.

(Becerra already resolved Yes)


Smart, or old. After a certain age, fast food started making me fill like shit immediately after eating it.


Don’t forget Jon Voight, James Woods, Kelsey Grammer, Kevin Sorbo, Roseanne Barr, Michael Rapaport, Scott Baio, and Randy’s brother Dennis. Nicki Minaj and Kanye can do the halftime show.
Agreed. Jail for everyone, myself included.
I’m with you on this one. The way they rudely asked that question, then forced you to look up the answer and post the link. It should be illegal.


He’s dumb as rock.
The lyrics to the chorus of his signature song are “I’m proud to be an American, where at least I know I’m free.”
Not “…in America, where…”, which would make grammatical sense.
Pretty much any group from history behaved terribly by modern standards. Even the colonized were doing their own colonizing before being overpowered by a more powerful colonizer.
Ok, then wtf is this?

The duck might not even be flapping; just being used as a sail.
They already share a checking account. Seems like marriage is just a formality at this point.
Shapes. What are they? Are they squares, or are they circles? Or, as some suggest, are they triangles?