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Cake day: July 22nd, 2024

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  • I’m not given individual investment advice, since that could lead to legal trouble. An ETF based on this index could make sense in your portfolio.

    Generally speaking in- or excluding companies based on a single indicator is a bad idea (as an investment argument). Many businesses have multiple flows of revenue. A (theoretical) company that uses 1% of their earnings to explore the possibilities of AI would be excluded from this index. Even when AI crashes this company would only experience a 1% loss in earning, basically statistical noise. There core business could over perform markets 10-fold and you would still exclude them from your portfolio. This is why thematic ETFs are almost always a bad idea.

    An typical ETF usually tries to match market performance/ the average performance of a typical company. As I said reliably over performing this metric is near to impossible and needs a better argument, than 'AI is a bad investment ’



  • The big problem is, that you can’t cut AI out of your portfolio, only businesses. Big businesses have multiple business segments. Cutting such companies out reduces your diversification much more, than just the AI portion of businesses, just because they dabble in AI with 1% of there earnings. This is a fundamental problem with these type of indices/ETFs.

    You are basically betting, that you can predict better than other investors, which companies perform good in the future. Historically speaking very few people could do this reliably, and arguably they were just lucky and retired/died before they could loose.

    This index is not a good tool to hedge your portfolio against the AI-crash. It’s a way to cash in on the anti-ai sentiment. Fonds provider are going to license the name, because they think there are enough people out there, who want to exclude AI from there portfolio for ideological reasons, not because they have a solid financial argument against these businesses.