• 16 Posts
  • 134 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • Can you name 3 alive Chinese people right now?

    I can, but I do not expose my AliBaba contacts. :)

    Besides, Chinese salespeople and even some engineers have the silly habit of adopting Western-sounding first names for business communication, so you don’t get a real name in casual talk.

    It’s a bit like Xi Jinping naming himself Timmy Jinping for easier diplomacy. I wonder why. :D

    Another silly bit… I’m from Estonia. Back a few years ago, some Chinese gal decided that advancing business relations would be well served by sending me Ramadan greetings (note the cultural dissonance in a country where a Muslim celebrating Ramadan would experience difficulties).

    I happily explained to her that we don’t celebrate Ramadan here, except for very few people. What I found out: Estonia in Chinese is “Àishāníyǎ”, which strongly suggests a place with lots of sand, so she guessed I was probably Arab. The language barrier is pretty high both ways. :)






  • I saw this thread and came here to bring notice of something that was decided by actions over the Persian Gulf two months ago, and is now happening.

    Russia’s monthly ballistic-missile production now exceeds Lockheed Martin’s PAC-3 production. And it takes 2-3 interceptors to stop one Iskander, says expert

    This is not Russian propaganda, this is an Ukrainian analysis of the situation.

    The situation, put shortly:

    • Trump needed to get his way against Iran so badly, that he wasted a decade’s worth of missile defense
    • everyone who depended on Patriot PAC-3 is experiencing a severe shortage
    • Lockheed Martin manages to make 53 interceptors per month (they hope to increase this)
    • Russia meanwhile increased its production of Iskander to 70 per month
    • a typical interception requires firing several interceptors
    • even if Trump agreed to sell all of production to Ukraine, it would not suffice

    Fortunately, Ukraine did not sit idle. It started mass producing medium-range drones which reach the typical launch sites of Iskander SRBMs. Lacking a way to defend, Ukraine will 95% likely attempt to take out the launchers, while looking for a way to disrupt Russian production with long range strikes at factories.

    Missile defense is an extremely expensive way of fighting which can only accomplish the goal of buying time. With the reserves the US had built up, it could have been sustained. Not any more.

    Sadly, we will be reading headlines about Russian missiles causing great damage in Ukraine, with an increasing frequency. We’ll also be reading about drones that semi-autonomously hunt for missile launchers, about Russians attempting to develop a longer-range Iskander, and hopefully about some critical factories blowing up really soon.



  • I think the strategy of just publishing the AI-generated deepfakes and educating the public, so as to immunize everyone against the concept, is a good one.

    It’s not feasible to “catch” a Chinese law enforcement officer or propaganda worker operating from China - as long as they remain home, all that’s possible is to take down the fakes.

    But she notes, mostly correctly:

    “They don’t use this on men. Because it doesn’t really hurt men,” she said.

    …and there’s history of it not working on men. Back in the old days (1960), KGB tried to blackmail the Indonesian president Sukarno with authentic sex tapes. Sukarno just requested more copies, saying that the footage was popular back home.

    There is no shame in being targeted with deepfakes. There is shame involved in targeting others with deepfakes.

    Law enforcement should try to pursue those who do it, but society should become immune to this phenomenon. It should be brushed aside with no social consequences to the person being targeted (or positive consequences like increased solidarity).





  • They took her four times to get it; twice she was turned away because she had a cold. “Don’t stress,” he says the health care worker told them, “the vaccine can be administered up until she reaches 5.” The third and fourth time, he says, they were told the vaccine was unavailable.

    Mild level of WTF while reading. The first two times had a reasonable explanation.

    She was discharged and readmitted to hospital a total of five times, Al Amin says; only on the fifth occasion did a doctor tell him she was suffering from measles.

    Serious levels of WTF while reading. Every time a measles patient goes without a diagnosis, the hyperinfectious disease gets another chance to spread.


  • There is no such wavelength available to my knowledge, although I would appreciate if someone pointed out a suitable window.

    They are indeed throwing a lot of resources at a solution that will need a (kinetic) backup solution on a rainy, foggy or snowy day.

    Water droplets absorb and scatter visible light, thermal radiation and short-wavelength radio waves. To the point of military radars being less capable during rain. Ice crystals are easier on radar, but mess up light even more severely.



  • I live in a country of 1 million next to a “global superpower” (also see “second army in the world”) (also see “the Russian Federation”).

    And I swear by the name of Nestor Makhno that if they’re going to try invading here too, I will be bombing military objects around St. Petersburg.

    This is the same thing that the rest of NATO swears, not all by the name of Makhno, some have different ideas about what might work. :)

    Deterrence works. People have the right to self-determination. They realize this right with alliances and guns. If a neigbour has plans, is big, has problematic manners: then with lots of guns. We learnt that Ukraine did not have enough guns to deter, and as a result Russia tried an invasion. Taiwan has geopolitical leverage with its chip industry and a sea that somewhat protects, but may have learnt the same lesson from Ukraine and wants more guns.

    Also noted: .ml


  • The people of Taiwan do not need more guns.

    The people of Taiwan, as represented by the government and the Legislative Yuan, do think they need more guns.

    Probably because of the swarms of Chinese aircraft which regularly practise attacking them, and the even greater swarms which sit and wait.

    I wish there was a diplomatic solution, because any military action in the strait of Taiwan would cause a rapid and severe global crisis.

    But the diplomatic action should not be abandoning Taiwan, because that won’t avert a crisis. If Taiwan is attacked, it will fight and land strikes on China too, resulting in exactly the kind of crisis everyone should avoid.




  • There is one bit of good news too, which I noticed here:

    https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/may/22/suspected-ebola-cases-triple-in-a-week-as-who-warns-of-rapid-spread-in-drc

    A WHO press briefing also heard that scientists had identified an antiviral drug, obeldesivir, which may be able to prevent contacts of Bundibugyo cases developing the disease, and were working to establish trials in the affected areas.

    Obeldesivir is an ester of remdesivir (converted into the nucleoside prodrug “remdesivir” by esterases once taken orally). Remdesivir is an old drug which was first approved for Hepatitis C, then for COVID-19, so there might be supplies.

    If given within 24 hours of infection through mucosal membranes (e.g. mouth, nose, eyes), it protects one species of macaques against Ebola well enough to have 100% survival during 21 days (but another species only gets 80% survival).

    It is predicted to protect humans, since the mechanism does not depend on the host species, but jams the viral RNA polymerase. But it works only if infection has just started, and there is very little viral RNA polymerase around in the body.

    I think it will mostly find use among medical personnel, who are likely to learn fast if they have been exposed. With the wider population, it probably won’t help as much - when detection comes late, the amount of virus in the body is too great to counter, so the drug can only disable a fraction of it. It likely can’t help if symptoms are already serious, and perhaps even if any symptoms are already present. Effective use is therefore likely to depend on effective testing and tracing.