With rules like that I would expect people to split onto two groups: ones that learn one pattern and repeat it because it’s a guaranteed result, and one that tries to find a counterexample to the rule they thought of at first. The fact that pigeons try different patterns kind of makes them more clever in my eyes.

But it’s known that pigeons perform better than humans in Monty Hall problem, so they are really pretty smart when it comes to statistics, it seems