• someguy3@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    NATO assumption is that the Baltics will be largely overrun

    That WAS (past tense) the assumption. After Russia’s showing in Ukraine, both the ineptitude and the atrocities, you can be certain they’re planning on defending the Baltics from the start.

    • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
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      11 hours ago

      So, apparently you are actually correct, although the change in posture is much more recent than you think. As in, within the last few weeks to months.

      I will not be saying more on this because I’ll get people in trouble if I do.

      • someguy3@lemmy.world
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        11 hours ago

        I have no idea if that is the official policy, in any case official policy lags far after ideas come around. After Russia failed to take Ukraine in 3 days, you can rest assured discussions started pretty quickly about holding on to the Baltics. Nothing top secret about that, you can just think it through.

        • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
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          11 hours ago

          I have no idea if that is the official policy

          That’s OK. I do.

          Like I said, you’re right, though the change was recent enough that I hadn’t been aware of it until I double checked.

          You’re wrong about the reasons why the posture changed, but I really can’t get into that.

          • someguy3@lemmy.world
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            11 hours ago

            Read: it does not matter. You know you can think about these things before they become official policy.

            Sure thing I’m wrong. Just like if you came across my comments saying this years ago you would have said I was wrong. But if you want it’s because they studied it and determined that they can hold on to it. You just have to think through it.

    • FaceDeer@fedia.io
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      15 hours ago

      Yeah. It’s no longer okay to have a plan that says it’s okay if Russia takes some territory, we’ll just take it back a little later. We’ve now seen what happens to the people living in territory that happens to.