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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Having a toll booth at Hormuz in any capacity would be the goal for Iran that would made any other points kinda moot in the long term. Here is a short list of some of the impacts:

    • Erode the power of the petrodollar collapsing the US empire economy
    • Allow Iran to basically circumvent any sanctions place on them since they can just take that back as toll
    • De-legitimized the gulf monarchies and allow Iran to build up friendly group inside those states
    • Place other gulf nations economic control in the hand of Iran and thus boost their ability to build up friendly forces there
    • Threaten the US and any hostile states intervention in the gulf states since those states will have tons of people depending on Iran

    With that kinda power in hand even if the US and occupied Palestine want to keep their bases and vassals in the gulf, it would just be a losing battle since the population will be hostile and cost of maintenance will be lopsidedly expensive.


  • The UN and what army’s gonna remove that toll both on Hormuz? the UN is just a negotiation platform for the great powers. If China and Russia decide to keep out of this or just backing Iran under the table, the only army left would be whatever the US and their coalitions can muster, and that one is failing miserably for now. As for why can’t the toll booth won’t be gone ‘after’ the war, when will the war actually end? what if one side just go home and never announce the end of the conflict? what if a state no longer exist and a bunch of smaller states just continue fighting? what if both states cease fire indefinitely but never negotiate? Are we even at war yet when the USA haven’t officially announced that they are at war? The war only truly end only when the material difference in Iran or the West have been substantially difference and both side can negotiate some actual agreeable deals.